The rainy season in Central America: An initial success in prediction
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Date
1999
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IAI Newsletters
Abstract
Based on the results of research funded under an IAI grant (ISP-1), a successful climate outlook was issued in early March, 1999, for the 1999 rainy season (May-November) in lower Central America. Press releases authored by the Centro de Investigaciones Geofisicas of the Universidad de Costa Rica (CIGEFI/UCR) were published on 03/March/99, 05/March/99 and 10/March/99 (e.g. Lizano and Alfaro, 1999) in the university weekly Semanario Universidad and in the daily newspaper La Prensa Libre, which also were aired on a Costa Rican TV program (UCR Channel 15) on 10/March/99. The outlook, based on the evolution of sea surface temperature (SST) indices for the tropical North Atlantic and East Pacific, advised the Costa Rican media. It then motivated a more in-depth study by the Instituto Meteorologico Nacional de Costa Rica (IMN-CR). In the IMN-CR's March bulletin, they issued a similar forecast, which subsequently proved successful.
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Alfaro, E. y Enfield, D. (1999). The rainy season in Central America: An initial success in prediction. IAI Newsletters, 20, 20-22.